The NBA action tonight is heating up, and with games like Lakers-Rockets and Thunder-Bulls tipping off, bettors are eyeing the best player props to cash in. SportsLine’s proven model—riding a 67-41 run on top-rated picks this season—has simulated Monday’s slate 10,000 times, spitting out five can’t-miss prop bets. From Josh Giddey facing his old squad to Derrick White and Alex Sarr shining, here’s your guide to the smartest wagers as the clock ticks past 9:30 p.m. ET.
Josh Giddey Over 35.5 PRA (-105)
The Chicago Bulls guard gets a juicy revenge spot against the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight, and the model loves his chances to rack up points, rebounds, and assists (PRA). Giddey’s cleared 35.5 PRA in seven of his last eight games, and with OKC’s defense focused on slowing the Bulls’ pace, his playmaking could shine. DraftKings has the best odds at -105—jump on it before it shifts. Narrative bonus: Giddey’s got extra fire facing the team that traded him away.
Derrick White Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+120)
Boston’s do-it-all guard faces the Nets in a game the Celtics should control early. White’s been a sniper lately, hitting three or more triples in four of his last six outings. Brooklyn’s perimeter defense ranks 22nd, giving up 13.8 threes per game, and the model projects White to feast—especially if Boston pulls ahead. At +120 on FanDuel, this is a steal for a guy averaging 3.1 attempts from deep in March.
Alex Sarr Over 1.5 Blocks (+130)
The Wizards’ No. 2 pick from 2024, Alex Sarr, is a blocks machine, swatting multiple shots in four of his last five games. Tonight’s matchup against the Miami Heat—who love attacking the paint—sets him up perfectly. Sarr’s logged 25+ minutes in six straight, and the model sees him rejecting at least two shots with ease. DraftKings’ +130 odds are the best out there, making this a high-value play for the rookie big man.
Jalen Green Under 25.5 Points (-110)
Houston’s explosive guard lit up the Suns for 33 last night, but back-to-back road games against a rested Lakers squad spell trouble. LA’s defense, anchored by Anthony Davis, ranks top-10 in points allowed to guards, and fatigue could sap Green’s legs after a 39-point blowout win. The model projects him closer to 22 points—Bet365’s -110 odds on the Under look like money in the bank.
Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 Assists (-125)
The Timberwolves’ star takes on Detroit, who’ve been a sieve defensively all year. Edwards has dished 5+ assists in six of his last nine games, thriving as Minnesota’s offense clicks. With the Pistons allowing 27.1 assists per game (28th in the league), the model’s got him clearing 4.5 easily—think closer to 6 or 7. BetMGM’s -125 odds are solid for this Western Conference stud.
Why Trust the Model?
SportsLine’s simulation has returned over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors on top picks since 2018-19. Tonight’s slate—including Thunder-Bulls, Lakers-Rockets, and more—offers prime opportunities, and these five props are where the data screams value. Want the full breakdown? Head to SportsLine, but these bets are live now—don’t sleep on them!