March 31, 2025 – The Brooklyn Nets head to American Airlines Center tonight to take on the Dallas Mavericks, tipping off at 8:40 p.m. ET in a matchup that’s got bettors and fans buzzing. With just minutes past tip-off, the SportsLine Projection Model—rocking a 67-41 record on top picks this season—has simulated this NBA clash 10,000 times. We’ve got the latest odds, a score prediction, the smartest bets, and a breakdown of their last 10 head-to-head battles to guide you through this Western vs. Eastern Conference showdown.
Nets Fighting, Mavs Surging
The Nets (24-50) are in freefall, dropping seven of their last nine, including a 126-113 loss to the Bucks on Saturday. Cam Johnson’s 19-point spark keeps them scrappy, but with D’Angelo Russell sidelined (ankle), Brooklyn’s road woes (9-28) loom large. Meanwhile, Dallas (47-27) is riding a five-game win streak, fresh off a 122-108 rout of the Kings. With Kyrie Irving out (hamstring), Klay Thompson and a rusty Luka Doncic—back from a wrist sprain—still powered a 24-12 home record. Can the Mavs keep it rolling against a gritty Nets squad?
Odds and Betting Snapshot
SportsLine’s latest odds peg Dallas as 8.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 227.5 points. Money line sits at Mavericks -375 (risk $375 to win $100) and Nets +290 (risk $100 to win $290). Brooklyn’s 5-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 contrasts with Dallas’ 7-3 ATS over the same span. The model’s leaning Over, projecting 231 points, and it’s locked in a spread pick hitting over 55% of the time—check SportsLine for the full scoop.
Nets vs. Mavericks: Last 10 Matchups
Dallas has owned this rivalry lately, winning 8 of the last 10. Here’s how the past decade of Nets-Mavs battles has unfolded:
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 5, 2025 | Mavericks | Nets | 112-106 | Mavericks |
| October 27, 2024 | Nets | Mavericks | 106-98 | Mavericks |
| March 10, 2024 | Nets | Mavericks | 118-110 | Mavericks |
| November 15, 2023 | Mavericks | Nets | 124-119 | Mavericks |
| February 6, 2023 | Nets | Mavericks | 124-112 | Mavericks |
| October 27, 2022 | Nets | Mavericks | 129-125 (OT) | Mavericks |
| March 17, 2022 | Mavericks | Nets | 113-111 | Mavericks |
| December 7, 2021 | Mavericks | Nets | 102-99 | Mavericks |
| May 6, 2021 | Nets | Mavericks | 113-109 | Nets |
| February 27, 2021 | Nets | Mavericks | 115-98 | Nets |
Note: Data reflects regular season games. Dallas’ 8-2 edge includes a tight 112-106 win earlier this season on Jan. 5.
Why the Model’s Picking One Side
The SportsLine model, with over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors since 2018-19, sees a clear edge here. Dallas ranks 13th in pace (99.29) and feasts at home, while Brooklyn’s top-10 defense (9th in points allowed) struggles to keep up on the road. Doncic’s return, even if rusty, boosts a Mavs offense that’s top-10 in scoring (116.8 points), and the Nets’ missing Russell leaves their backcourt thin. The model predicts Dallas covers in over 55% of sims—head to SportsLine for the exact call.
Best Bets to Cash In
With the game underway, here’s where the value’s at. Over 227.5 feels strong—Dallas’ pace and Brooklyn’s bench scoring (top-15 in reserves) point to a shootout. Player prop alert: Thompson’s over 18.5 points (-115) is tempting; he’s cleared that in three of his last five home games. Lock in your bets—this one’s got juice.